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From
the Heritage Foundation...
From the Pacific Research
Institute...
From the Commonwealth Foundation...
From the Thomas
Jefferson Institute for Public Policy...
From the Buckeye
Institute...
From the Mackinac Center
for Public Policy...
From
the Heritage Foundation...
Memorandum
September
21, 2001
TO:
David Tuerck
FR: Bill Beach, Director, Center for Data Analysis, Heritage
Foundation
CC: Bridgett Wagner
RE: Importance of the STAMP models
I
recently re-read your fine report on proposed reforms
to health care coverage in Maryland. That report reminded me of
the many times that I have wanted to write and tell you about the
increasingly central role that STAMP models are playing in public
policy debate. You should know that the effects of your work can
be seen in a number of states, and that BHI's influence on public
policy is steadily increasing.
I'm
particularly impressed by how various think tanks have used your
model. Pacific Research Institute's analysis of how taxing commerce
on the internet might affect the California economy has been duplicated
by other think tanks that own your model. I suspect that the tax
analysis of the Buckeye Institute in Ohio and the spending analysis
of the Commonwealth Foundation in Pennsylvania also will resonate
in similar studies conducted by the increasing number of state organizations
that own the STAMP model.
I
must say, however, that the work you did for the Maryland Foundation
for Research and Economic Education (Maryland FREE)
on health care reform best exemplifies the enormous effect that
your work can have. The small but dedicated band of reformers in
Maryland FREE stood virtually no chance of commanding public attention
against the well-financed, media savvy Maryland Citizens' Health
Initiative and allied groups. Instead, your report devastated the
claims of the MCHI and allowed Maryland FREE to mount an aggressive
media campaign. Maryland FREE stood toe-to-toe against MCHI in the
Washington Post, the Baltimore
Sun, the Montgomery Gazette,
and the Washington Times. That lineup spells
impact in any Washingtonian's lexicon.August 28, 2001
From the Manhattan Institute...
September
24, 2001
Mr.
David G. Tuerck
Executive Director
Beacon Hill Institute
8 Ashburton Place
Boston, MA 02108
Dear
David:
I
just wanted to thank you for the econometric model you created for
us to evaluate the relationship between taxes and the economy. Its
debut was a tremendous success. Mayor Giuliani embraced our analysis
and helped us to bring tax policy into the middle of the mayoral
campaign.
The
model is a tremendous tool for helping to leverage our influence
on public policy. I'm convinced it would be an invaluable tool for
other think tanks as well. We appreciate your involvement and look
forward to working with you again.
Sincerely,
Larry
Mone
President
Manhattan Institute for Policy Research
From
the Pacific Research Institute...
Ms.
Bridgett Wagner
Director, Coalition Relations
The Heritage Foundation
214 Massachusetts Ave., N.E.
Washington, D.C. 20002-4999
Dear
Bridgett:
I
am very pleased to provide you with some examples of the success
that the Pacific Research Institute has been able to enjoy as a
result of having the Cal-STAMP model of the California economy.
PRI is now in its second year of using the model and it has proved
to be a very valuable tool for our important work in the state in
the area of taxation.
For
example, in 2000, Assemblywoman Carol Migden (D-San Francisco) introduced
a bill that would have resulted in further taxation of the internet
in California. Based on the research results coming from the Cal-STAMP
model showing significant job loss in the state if the tax were
implemented, Governor Gray Davis vetoed the legislation. This study's
findings, based on the model, received prominent media coverage
throughout the state, including the front page of the Business Section
of the San Francisco Examiner.
In
June of this year, PRI published its bi-annual California
Legislators' Guide 2001. This guide has proved
to be extremely popular with members of both sides of the legislature.
The 2001 edition contained two chapters on Taxation and Budget.
Based on the results from the model, author Erik Bauman was able
to make clear recommendations for legislators on promoting the fiscal
health of California. The launch took place at a barbecue luncheon
on the grounds of the State Capitol. It was very well attended by
legislators and their staffers. A lively question and answer period
ensued.
In
July, when Republicans in the California legislature dug their heels
in for a protracted budget fight, they relied on PRI data to bring
their anti-tax message home. The standoff was over an automatic
quarter-cent reduction in the state sales tax that was triggered
when the California budget surplus was booming. When the Governor
started using up the surplus faster than anticipated, the Democrats
wanted to reinstate the tax.
Relying
on data from one of the chapters in the California
Legislators' Guide 2001 cited above, Republicans
were able to show that the sales tax could cost California over
150,000 jobs by 2004. Assembly Leader Dave Cox and Assembleymen
Strickland and Runner all cited data on the Assembly floor and in
op-eds throughout the budget battle. The impasse finally ended in
a partial victory for the Republicans and Californiansthe
final budget passed changes the formula by which the tax will be
triggered.
Dr.
Lawrence McQuillan, Director of PRI's Center for Entrepreneurship,
and Mr. Chris Middleton who has responsibility for the model, will
be visiting state legislators this Fall to further demonstrate the
capabilities of the model. Included in their presentations to legislators
will be the impact of tax changes on the budget and employment.
These
are just a few examples of the exciting work and impact that the
Pacific Research Institute has been able to have using the Cal-STAMP
model developed by David Tuerck and his staff at the Beacon Hill
Institute in Massachusetts.
Sincerely
Sally
C. Pipes
President & CEO
Pacific Research Institute
From the Commonwealth
Foundation...
August
31, 2001
David
Tuerck
Beacon Hill Institute
8 Ashburton Place
Boston, Massachusetts 02108-2770
Dear
David:
I
write to thank you and your staff for the outstanding work you have
done in providing us with the STAMP tax model for Pennsylvania.
It has been an invaluable tool for us and, in just the past few
months, we have employed it successfully in a key fight to prevent
a tax increase.
As
you know, some legislators in Pennsylvania are fighting mightily
to include our state in the group seeking to expand sales taxes
to all Internet and other remote purchases. While we were readily
able to show the static effect that the proposal would have on taxpayers
and consumers in Pennsylvania, we looked to the STAMP model to help
us show the dynamic effect of this tax increase on jobs and our
economy. With your help, we were able to show legislators and other
policy-makers that Pennsylvania would forfeit more than 90,000 jobs
going forward if the Internet sales tax plan became reality.
You
will be quite pleased to know that the tax advocates, at their request,
were provided with our study and the STAMP users' manual the Beacon
Hill produced. They, I assume, thought that they would be able to
tear the model apart and show the state the error of our ways. They
have said not one substantive word critical of the model, which
tells me that your work has withstood the most hostile and biased
scrutiny. This is a strong testament to the thoroughness and the
care of Beacon Hill's product.
We
will be using the STAMP model in the weeks ahead to show Pennsylvania
policy makers how a dramatic reduction in business taxes can boost
our state's anemic job-creation record, and we have had interest
from key leaders from around the state in how the model can help
them shape their own policy proposals.
All
in all, adding the STAMP model to The Commonwealth Foundation's
research tools has been an important and extremely helpful development
for us this year. We look forward to even greater impact in the
months ahead.
Please
count me among your most grateful admirers.
Very
truly yours,
Sean
Duffy
President
From
the Thomas Jefferson Institute for Public Policy...
From:
Mike Thompson
Sent: Tuesday, September 25, 2001 10:25 PM
To: 'Wagner, Bridgett'
Subject: RE: STAMP model
The
Beacon Hill Institute provided the Thomas Jefferson Institute a
wonderful STAMP model that has enabled us to bring important employment
consequences of higher taxes to key legislators and business leaders.
This model is the only thing of its type in Virginia that is available
to our state legislators. Working with David Tuerck and his quality
staff, we put together a team of leading Virginia economists who
oversaw the development of this model and thus its impact has been
greater than might have otherwise been the case.
Mike
Thompson
Thomas Jefferson Institute
From
the Buckeye Institute...
October
10, 2001
David
G. Tuerck, Ph.D.
Executive Director
Beacon Hill Institute
Suffolk University
8 Ashburton Place
Boston,
MA 02108-2270
Dear
David:
This
letter is to update you on the effect our report Tax Reform
for the New Millennium is having on the debate here in Ohio.
The
report led to positive editorials and op-eds in the Cincinnati
Enquirer, Willoughby News Herald,
and various business journals, and to radio and television news
stories in Columbus. The study was excerpted in the Ohio Chamber
of Commerce's magazine Ohio Matters.
More
importantly, the report has been used by several legislators, including
Senator Jim Jordan who has introduced a proposal for a 10% across
the board income tax cut.
You
provided an invaluable service through your STAMP model by reliably
estimating revenue loss and job creation for each of our income
tax cut proposals. Now, when discussions of income tax cuts are
held at the Statehouse, legislators refer to our report to examine
the likely impact of various proposals on the state budget and job
creation.
Thank
you for your assistance in preparing and releasing Tax Reform
for Ohio's New Millennium. As always, please contact me if
you need anything from me and please feel free to list me as a reference
for the benefits that your STAMP model can provide to important
state-based tax research.
Sincerely,
David
J. Owsiany, J.D.
President
Buckeye Institute
From the Mackinac
Center for Public Policy...
October
22, 2001
Dr.
David G. Tuerck
Executive Director
The Beacon Hill Institute for Public Policy Research
Suffolk University
8 Ashburton Place
Boston, MA 02108-2770
Dear
Dave:
I
wanted to drop you this note to tell you how extremely valuable
the State Tax Analysis Modeling Program (STAMP) is that you folks
at Beacon Hill developed, and to thank you for conceiving and implementing
it, and working with state-based groups like mine to put it to good
use. Lansing is full of talk these days about the alleged "need"
to slow down or cancel already-passed and scheduled reductions in
the state's personal income tax and Single Business Tax (SBT). A
slowing in state revenues, mirroring the economy as a whole, prompts
such talk. Our view at the Mackinac Center is that state government
ought to discipline itself, reprioritize its spending, and keep
scheduled tax cuts in place if it really aims to stimulate a soft
economy. Using your STAMP model confirmed that if the scheduled
cuts were to be canceled, the result would be fewer jobs and a less
healthy economy-a fact that revenue analysts should take into account
mightily in their deliberations.
Two
weeks ago, a group of prominent state senators in Michigan, as well
as the Michigan Chamber of Commerce, approached us with a request
for our participation in crafting both an economic stimulus package
and a reasoned defense of tax cuts. We put the STAMP model to work
and it worked beautifully. At both a Lansing news conference with
senators and representatives, and at testimony I gave before both
House and Senate committees, the STAMP model and its findings were
given a prominent hearing. When we had questions during the process,
your people were responsive and helpful.
Many
thanks to you and to the great team you have assembled at Beacon
Hill for this very valuable work!
Sincerely,
Lawrence
W. Reed
President
Mackinac Center for Public Policy
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